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Use of fuzzy rule-based evidential reasoning approach in the navigational risk assessment of inland waterway transportation systems

Zhang, D and Yan, X and Zhang, J and Yang, Z and Wang, J (2016) Use of fuzzy rule-based evidential reasoning approach in the navigational risk assessment of inland waterway transportation systems. Safety Science, 82. pp. 352-360. ISSN 0925-7535

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Abstract

A novel approach incorporating a fuzzy rule base technique and an Evidential Reasoning (ER) algorithm is applied to conduct the navigational risk assessment of an Inland Waterway Transportation System (IWTS). A hierarchical structure for modeling IWTS hazards (hazard identification model) is first constructed taking into account both qualitative and quantitative criteria. The quantitative criteria are converted to qualitative ones by applying a fuzzy rule-based quantitative data transformation technique, which enables the use of ER to synthesize the risk estimates from the bottom to the top along the hierarchy. Intelligent Decision System (IDS) Software is used for facilitating risk synthesis and estimation. The proposed method is tested in a case study to compare the navigational safety levels of three different regions in the Yangtze River.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: 09 Engineering, 11 Medical And Health Sciences, 17 Psychology And Cognitive Sciences
Subjects: T Technology > TC Hydraulic engineering. Ocean engineering
Divisions: Maritime and Mechanical Engineering
Publisher: Elsevier
Date Deposited: 16 Mar 2016 13:48
Last Modified: 18 Nov 2016 11:34
DOI or Identification number: 10.1016/j.ssci.2015.10.004
URI: http://researchonline.ljmu.ac.uk/id/eprint/2631

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