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MODELLING AND SYSTEMATIC ASSESSMENT OF MARITIME CONTAINER SUPPLY CHAIN RISKS

Wan, C (2019) MODELLING AND SYSTEMATIC ASSESSMENT OF MARITIME CONTAINER SUPPLY CHAIN RISKS. Doctoral thesis, Liverpool John Moores University.

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Abstract

Maritime container supply chains (MCSCs) is exposed to various risks arising from both internal operations and the external environment, and the increasing complexity of the modern global logistics system makes the situation even worse, thus causing a significant challenge to the effective risk management of MCSCs. However, systematic studies on this topic are relatively few. In view of this, this study aims to explore and analyse various MCSC risks, develop suitable risk assessment methods, and evaluate the overall performance of MCSCs from a systematic perspective, so as to ensure the safety, reliability, and resilience of MCSCs. This research starts with the identification and classification of all possible risk factors that may be involved in an MCSC based on a comprehensive literature review, and the research results are further validated through a Delphi expert survey. The identified risk factors are then analysed, screened, and assessed in detail. The novelty of this study lies not only on the risk assessment of MCSCs under an uncertain environment from a supply chain level but also on the consideration of the impact of risk condition of each individual MCSC on the overall performance of the entire container supply network. The research results will provide useful insights and valuable information for both researchers and practitioners on the risk analysis and assessment of MCSCs, which is beneficial to different types of stakeholders involved in the maritime shipping industry. The work is also able to provide a theoretical foundation for risk-based decision making and shipping route optimisation in further work. Although the risk assessment methods are presented on the basis of the specific context in MCSCs, it is believed that, with domain-specific knowledge and data, they can also be tailored for a wide range of applications to evaluate the reliability and performance of other supply chain systems, especially where a high level of uncertainty is involved.

Item Type: Thesis (Doctoral)
Uncontrolled Keywords: maritime container supply chain; container shipping networks; risk modelling; risk assessment; fuzzy rule base; network centrality; evidential reasoning approach; Bayesian networks
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor
H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD61 Risk Management
H Social Sciences > HE Transportation and Communications
T Technology > T Technology (General)
Divisions: Maritime & Mechanical Engineering (merged with Engineering 10 Aug 20)
Date Deposited: 16 Jan 2019 12:58
Last Modified: 05 Oct 2022 09:15
DOI or ID number: 10.24377/LJMU.t.00009944
Supervisors: Yang, Z, Eddie, B-D and Ren, J
URI: https://researchonline.ljmu.ac.uk/id/eprint/9944
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